Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Giustino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Giustino has a slight edge in second serve points won recently at 40.79% compared to Gurri's 40.44%. Could this make a crucial difference?
• Gurri has been stronger in return games, with 51.24% success on second serve returns versus Giustino's 47.58% and 35.03% on first serve returns compared to Giustino's 27.72%.
• Under pressure, Giustino has a marginal advantage in saving breakpoints, achieving a 50.78% save rate over Gurri's 48.79%.
• Overall, Giustino and Gurri have similar win rates in the past year, with Gurri slightly ahead, winning 63.75% of matches versus Giustino's 62.65%.
• On clay, which is their preferred surface, Gurri boasts a better career win rate at 61% compared to Giustino's 55%.
• Both players have primarily competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, but Giustino has a higher win percentage at this level (76.67%) than Gurri (70.21%).
• In their head-to-head encounters, Gurri leads with 2 wins to Giustino’s 1, as well as a superior set record of 4-3.
• Gurri has been victorious in their only deciding set against Giustino, which may favor Gurri if this match reaches that stage.
• Gurri excels in extreme pressure situations, winning their only tiebreak against Giustino thus far.
• Giustino has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents on average compared to Gurri in the past 12 months.
• In broader deciding set performance, Gurri edges out with 65% wins compared to Giustino’s 63%.
• Currently, Gurri has been more effective at converting breakpoints, with a rate of 37.67% versus Giustino’s 33.85%.

Editorial Prediction (September 16, 2025, UTC):

Both players show consistency in several aspects of their game, making a prediction quite challenging. However, recent statistics show that Gurri has a slight edge in return games and overall match victories.

Gurri's stronger performance in high-pressure situations, such as converting breakpoints and tiebreaks, may provide a distinct advantage.

Though the players are closely matched in many respects, based on current trends and head-to-head history, Gurri appears to hold a slight upper hand.

Considering these factors, Gurri is the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.